Probabilistic assessment of seismic hazard in Parand City

Beitollahi, Ali; Dehghan Farouji, Fateme; Soodmand, Negar; Razaghian, Ghazaleh

doi:10.22111/jneh.2023.43966.1929

Probabilistic assessment of seismic hazard in Parand City

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

¹ Assistant Prof. of the Road, Housing and Urban Development Research Center, Iran

² Instructor of the Road, Housing and Urban Development Research Center, Iran

³ PhD Student of Islamic Azad University, North Tehran branch, Tehran, Iran

⁴ Assistant Prof., Department of Geology, Damavand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Damavand, Iran Earthquake and Natural Disaster Research Center, Damavand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Damavand, Iran

10.22111/jneh.2023.43966.1929

Abstract

The Iranian Plateau is located along the active Alpine-Himalayan orogenic belt, which stretches from the Arabian plate in the southwest to the stable Eurasian shield in the northeast and is divided into different tectonic seismic zones. Tehran province is seismically active and has always been under threat due to the occurrence of earthquakes and the existence of many faults. Parand City is located in Tehran province and the seismic state of central Iran. It is located in the zone with high and high seismicity in the Hazard zoning map of the Iranian Code of Practice for Seismic Resistant design of buildings (Standard No.2800). So far, there has been no documented study in the field of seismic risk analysis and assessment of Parand city. In this regard, the seismic risk assessment of the new city of Parand was carried out. This evaluation was carried out by a probabilistic method in 4 basic steps, which include the study of tectonic earthquakes and modeling of seismic springs, developing a seismicity model and obtaining seismic parameters, choosing a reduction relationship or a model for estimating powerful earth movements and Probabilistic risk analysis of earthquakes. In this research, the values of β, λ, and the expected maximum acceleration, the maximum acceleration of the earth's strong movement for the return period of 475 years were obtained, which is equal to g0.33 in bedrock, which will be about g0.39 with the effect of soil effect. Based on the results of this research, Parand City is divided into four zones, the southern parts of the city have the lowest acceleration, and the northern parts have the highest acceleration.

Keywords

Main Subjects

Environmental Hazards

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