Performance evaluation of composite remote sensing indices in drought assessment (case study: Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province, Iran)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 M.A of Watershed Science and Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources and Desert Studies, Yazd University, Iran

2 Assistant Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources and Desert Studies, Yazd University, Iran

3 Associate professor, Faculty of Natural Resources and Desert Studies, Yazd University, Iran

4 M.A of RS & GIS, Geography group, Yazd University, Iran

Abstract

Drought is a significant natural disaster that requires monitoring to control and minimize its damages. In addition to climate-based drought indices, remote sensing drought monitoring indices are widely used today, especially in regions with limited climate data. These indices utilize satellite images and provide valuable information, resulting in relatively good performance. Furthermore, composite drought indicators are relatively new and multi-variable indices that combine remote sensing indicators for monitoring drought. Studies have shown that the effectiveness of these indicators can also be influenced by the study region. Given the importance of evaluating the performance of new methods in monitoring drought, this study compared the performance of a composite drought monitoring index, CDI, with the VCI, TCI, VHI, and PCI in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province, Iran. CDI is a combination of VCI, TCI, and PCI. The values of the indices were compared with the SPI for the period of 2001-2020, with a time lag of 0 to 8 months by calculating the determination coefficient. For each index, the lag time that provided the highest R2 was identified. Precipitation data from 19 rain gauge stations in the study area were used to calculate the SPI on 3 and 6-month time scales. The results showed that the CDI presents by far the highest correlation with SPI values. The coefficient of determination for the VCI on a 6-month time scale with a 3-month time lag was on average 0.30. For the TCI, the average R2 is 0.50 in both the 3 and 6-month time scales without a time lag. The average R2 for the VHI on a 6-month time scale with a 2-month time lag was 0.41. The average coefficient of determination for the PCI index on a 3-month time scale without a time lag was just 0.32. The CDI index provided the best performance, with an average R2 of 0.73 in both the 3 and 6-month time scales without a time lag. While VCI, TCI, and PCI individually showed weak matching with the SPI, combining them into the CDI resulted in a significant correlation with the SPI.

Keywords

Main Subjects


References (in Persian)
Arabi, Z., & Mohammadi, S. (2021); Monitoring Spatio-temporal pattern of drought using multi-satellite data during the period 2000-2018 (Case study: Iran), Journal of Natural Environmental Hazards,10(30),83-104, https://doi.org/10.22111/jneh.2021.34785.1679 [In Persian]
Arjmandi, Z., Asadi Zarch, M. A., Seyed Zeynalabedin, H., & Mohammad Reza, E. (2022); Forecasting Drought in Arid Regions Using Global Climate Models: A Case Study of Yazd Province, Iran. Desert Ecosystem Engineering, 10(32), 97-112.  10.22052/DEEJ.2021.10.32.51 [In Persian]
Azimi, S., Khosh Ravesh, M., Ghale Noee, M.A., Pirouzi Nezhad, S. (2017); Evaluation of SPI index for drought severity zoning by comparing three interpolation methods Ordinary Kriging, IDW and Spline (case study: Razavi Khorasan province), The second national hydrology conference of Iran, Shahrekord. https://civilica.com/doc/661411 [In Persian]
Damavandi, A., A., Rahimi, M., Yazdani, M., R., Noroozi, A., A., (2016); Spatial Monitoring of Agricultural Drought through Time Series of NDVI and LST indices of MODIS data (Case study: Markazi Province), Scientific- Research Quarterly of Geographical Data (SEPEHR), 25(99), 115-126. https://sid.ir/paper/253158/en  [In Persian]
Karami, E., (2016); Climate Change, Drought and Poverty in Iran: A Perspective of Future, Strategic Research Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, 1(1), 63-80. https://doi.org/10.22047/srjasnr.2016.110532  [In Persian]
Kazempour Choursi, S., Erfanian, M., Ebadi Nehari, Z., (2019); Evaluation of MODIS and TRMM Satellite Data for Drought Monitoring in the Urmia Lake Basin, Journal of Geography and Environmental Planning, 30(2), 17-34. https://doi.org/10.22108/gep.2019.115381.1115  [In Persian]
Khalil Fard, R., Karke Abadi, Z., (2019), Reviews of climate, geology, slope and environmental factors in Shahrekord city and its surroundings according to geographic maps, International Conference on Security, Progress and Sustainable Development of Border Regions, Territories and Metropolises, Solutions and Challenges with a focus on passive defense and crisis management, Tehran. https://civilica.com/doc/876098 [In Persian]
Khodaei, M., Shad, R., Maghsoudi, Y., (2015); Introducing drought satellite indicators and evaluating their performance, National Conference on Civil Engineering and Needs-Based Research, Mashhad. https://civilica.com/doc/461245  [In Persian]
Mohit Esdahani, P., Soltani, S., Modarres, R., Pourmanafi, S., (2020); Assessment of Multivariate Standardized Drought Index (MSDI) and Meteoro-Agricultural Drought Monitoring in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari Province. Water And Soil Science (Journal of Science And Technology of Agriculture And Natural Resources), 24(3 ), 33-47. https://sid.ir/paper/389858/en  [In Persian]
Mostafazadeh, R., Zabihi, M., (2016); Comparison of SPI and SPEI indices to meteorological drought assessment using R programming (Case study: Kurdistan Province), Journal of the Earth and Space Physics, Vol. 42, No. 3, P. 13. https://doi.org/10.22059/jesphys.2016.57881  [In Persian]
Nazaripour, H. (2015). Development of a New Comprehensive Multivariate Aggregate Drought Index (ADI) based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for Hydro-Meteorological Droughts Assessment in the Southeast of Iran (Case Study: Pishin Dam Basin). Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, 4(3), 91-112. doi: 10.22067/geo.v4i3.31626 [In Persian]
Nazaripour, H., Karimi, Z., Sedaghat, M., (2016); Hydro-Meteorological Drought Assessment Based on Aggregate Drought Index (ADI) and its prediction with Markov Chain in Sarbaz River Basin (Southeast of Iran). jwss 2016; 20 (75) :151-169. http://jstnar.iut.ac.ir/article-1-3282-en.html [In Persian]
Shafii, B., Barghi, H., Ghanbari, Y., (2019); The study of drought effects on the economic, social and environmental conditions of rural areas from the viewpoint of heads of households, Journal of  Applied Research in Geographical Sciences, 19 (55):173-191. http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3035-fa.html  [In Persian]
Shahbazi, K., Heshmati, M., Saeedifar, Z., (2021); Investigating the Effect of Climate Change on Drought and Desertification Risk in Kermanshah Province, Journal of Desert Management, 8 (16), 183-200,  10.22034/JDMAL.2021.243136  [In Persian]
Tabatabaii Zadeh, M., Hadian, F., Hosseini, S.Z., Barkhordari, J., Khosravi, H., (2014); Investigation of arid vegetation compatibility toward precipitation variation with NDVI index (a case study, Ardakan-Aghda plain), Journal of Natural Ecosystems of Iran, 5(1), 23-36. https://sanad.iau.ir/Journal/nei/Article/983440  [In Persian]
Zare Bidaki, R., Yazdandoost, O., Rahimian, M. H., Gharahi, N., (2022); Combining climate information and remote sensing in the integrated drought index, for zoning of drought the Yazd-Ardakan plain. Management of Natural Ecosystems, 2(1), 36-48. doi: 10.22034/emj.2022.252719 [In Persian]
 
References (in English)
Abramowitz, M., Stegun, I.A., (1968); Handbook of mathematical functions: with formulas, graphs, and mathematical tables (Vol. 55), Courier Corporation.
Alahacoon, N., Edirisinghe, M. (2022); A comprehensive assessment of remote sensing and traditionally based drought monitoring indices at global and regional scale. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 13(1), 762-799. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2022.2044394
Al Adaileh, H., Al Qinna, M., Barta, K., Al-Karablieh, E., Rakonczai, J.,  Alobeiaat, A., (2019). A Drought Adaptation Management System for Groundwater Resources Based on Combined Drought Index and Vulnerability Analysis. Earth Systems and Environment, 3, 445–461. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-019-00118-9.
Al-Bakri, J. T., Alnaimat, M. J., Al-Karablieh, E., & Qaryouti, E. A. (2019). Assessment of combined drought index and mapping of drought vulnerability in Jordan. International Journal of Engine Research Application, 9(3), 59-68. DOI:10.9790/9622-0903015967.
Asadi Zarch, MA., (2022); Past and Future Global Drought Assessment. Water Resources Management, 36, 5259-5276. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-022-03304-z
Asadi Zarch, M.A., Sivakumar, B., Sharma, A., (2015); Droughts in a warming climate: a global assessment of Standardized precipitation index (SPI) and Reconnaissance drought index (RDI), Journal of Hydrology, 526, 183-195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.071
Ault, T. R. (2020); On the essentials of drought in a changing climate. Science, 368(6488), 256-260. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaz5492
Balint, Z., Mutua, F., Muchiri, P., Omuto, C. T. (2013); Monitoring drought with the combined drought index in Kenya, In Developments in earth surface processes (Vol. 16, pp. 341-356). https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59559-1.00023-2
Bayissa, Y. A., Tadesse, T., Svoboda, M., Wardlow, B., Poulsen, C., Swigart, J., Van Andel, S. J. (2019); Developing a satellite-based combined drought indicator to monitor agricultural drought: A case study for Ethiopia, GIScience & Remote Sensing, 56(5), 718-748. https://doi.org/10.1080/15481603.2018.1552508
Du, L., Tian, Q., Yu, T., Meng, Q., Jancso, T., Udvardy, P., Huang, Y. (2013); A comprehensive drought monitoring method integrating MODIS and TRMM data, International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 23, 245-253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2012.09.010
Ghazala, Q., Shahina, T., Shahzada, A., Muhammad, L., (2021); Evaluation of a composite drought index to identify seasonal drought and its associated atmospheric dynamics in Northern Punjab, Pakistan, Journal of Arid Environments, 185, 104332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104332.
Ji, L., Peters, A. J. (2003); Assessing vegetation response to drought in the northern Great Plains using vegetation and drought indices, Remote sensing of Environment, 87(1), 85-98. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0034-4257(03)00174-3
Kogan, F., Stark, R., Gitelson, A., Jargalsaikhan, L., Dugrajav, C., Tsooj, S. (2004); Derivation of pasture biomass in Mongolia from AVHRR-based vegetation health indices, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 25(14), 2889-2896. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160410001697619
Kogan, F. N. (1995); Application of vegetation index and brightness temperature for drought detection, Advances in space research, 15(11), 91-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/0273-1177(95)00079-T
Kukunuri, A. N. J., Murugan, D., Singh, D. (2020); Variance-based fusion of VCI and TCI for efficient classification of agriculture drought using MODIS data, Geocarto International, 37(10), 2871–2892. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2020.1837256
Liu, Q., Zhang, S., Zhang, H., Bai, Y., Zhang, J. (2020); Monitoring drought using composite drought indices based on remote sensing. Science of the total environment, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134585
Livada, I., Assimakopoulos, V. (2007); Spatial and temporal analysis of drought in Greece using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Theor. Appl. Climatol, 89, 143–153 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0227-z
Maina, F. Z., Kumar, S. V. (2023); diverging trends in rain‐on‐snow over High Mountain Asia. Earth's Future, 11(3), e2022EF003009. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003009
McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., Kleist, J. (1993); The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, In Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology (Vol. 17, No. 22, pp. 179-183).
Orimoloye, I. R., Belle, J. A., Orimoloye, Y. M., Olusola, A. O., Ololade, O. O. (2022); Drought: A common environmental disaster, Atmosphere, 13(1), 111. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010111
Parvaze, S., Kumar, R., Khan, J. N., & Parvaze, S. (2023); Climate change, drought, and water resources. In Integrated Drought Management, Volume 1 (pp. 541-568). CRC Press. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781003276555
Pratap, S., Markonis, Y. (2022); The response of the hydrological cycle to temperature changes in recent and distant climatic history, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 9(1), 30. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-022-00489-0
Torabi Haghighi, A., Abou Zaki, N., Rossi, P. M., Noori, R., Hekmatzadeh, A. A., Saremi, H., Kløve, B. (2020); Unsustainability syndrome from meteorological to agricultural drought in arid and semi-arid regions. Water, 12(3), 838. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12030838
Zhang, R., Shangguan, W., Liu, J., Dong, W., & Wu, D. (2024); Assessing meteorological and agricultural drought characteristics and drought propagation in Guangdong, China. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 51, 101611. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101611
Zou, L., Cao, S., Sanchez-Azofeifa, A. (2020); Evaluating the utility of various drought indices to monitor meteorological drought in Tropical Dry Forests, Int J Biometeorol, 64, 701–711, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-019-01858-z.