Physical Resilience of urban housing against earthquakes: an analysis of northern neighborhoods and regions of Tehran Metropolis

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Planning, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

2 Postdoctoral researcher in geography and urban planning, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

3 PhD student Geography and Planning, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The metropolis of Tehran is one of the most vulnerable cities in the world against the danger of earthquakes, which, in addition to being located around numerous faults, faces rapid urbanization, high population density, and weak infrastructure. The present study seeks to analyze the physical resilience of urban housing in the northern neighborhoods and regions of the Tehran metropolis (regions 1-5 and 22), which are directly adjacent to the northern fault of Tehran. Therefore, this study is practical in terms of descriptive-analytical methods and terms of purpose. The data and information needed in the research have been collected from two library and survey methods and analyzed using the SWARA model and Excel and ArcGIS-Pro software. For this purpose, first, by studying the background of the research, 13 key criteria were identified, and then by using the SWARA model, their weighting and importance coefficient were determined; respectively, the criteria of "type of structure", "distance from the fault" and "access to the road network" were assigned the highest importance. The findings of the research indicate the poor condition of urban housing in the study area in terms of physical resilience against earthquakes, where more than 60% of the localities have low or very low resilience. Only, about 19% of the neighborhoods have favorable conditions and can withstand possible earthquakes. In this survey, "Golha", "Hazarsang" and "Moradabad" neighborhoods had the lowest level of resilience, and "Tehran Pars West", "Hakimieh" and "Javadieh" neighborhoods had the highest level of resilience. Among the six investigated regions, Region One showed the lowest and Region Four the highest level of resilience against earthquakes. The research results indicate the high instability and vulnerability of the studied area. In the meantime, the northern and western parts of the range are less resilient and therefore more vulnerable; on the contrary, the more we move towards the south and southeast areas of the range, the physical resilience of the housing against earthquakes increases.

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Volume 13, Issue 41 - Serial Number 3
September 2024
Pages 39-60
  • Receive Date: 08 July 2023
  • Revise Date: 08 May 2024
  • Accept Date: 08 June 2024
  • First Publish Date: 08 June 2024
  • Publish Date: 22 September 2024